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Suppose you have $200 a month burning a hole in your pocket
and you want to make the most of it over the next 20 years or so. What are your
options?
Spend the money. Pay off mortgage principal. Save or invest the money. Pay of higher-interest-rate debt.
Let's take a look at each of these options.
Spend it. If you
believe the credit card commercials, you may opt for a couple decades of annual
tropical vacations--priceless. In this case, spending the money changes the
definition of priceless to "no money in your pocket". Ah, but those memories of
hangovers on fruity rum drinks!
Pay off mortgage
principal. Remember, mortgage interest is tax-deductible, so you save a
chunk on taxes to offset what you pay in interest on your mortgage. This tax
deduction makes owning a home and paying a mortgage more affordable in the
early years, when most of your payment is interest. But it would be silly to
get a mortgage just for the tax deduction.
Using the previous example, your mortgage is $200,000 for 30
years at 5.25%. How much does this mortgage cost?
Without
any prepayments, you pay $197,585 in interest over the full 30 years. But
that's without taking the tax deduction into account.
If
your tax bracket is 25%, you get a 25% tax deduction (in this example,
$49,396) of the mortgage interest you pay. Your total out-of-pocket, then,
is $148,149 (that's $197,585 minus $49,396). Keep in mind that, to get the
benefit of the mortgage interest tax deduction, you have to itemize your
tax return and have enough deductions to exceed the standard deduction,
which is $11,400 for a married couple filing jointly in 2009.
If you
use the $200 each month to prepay principal, you chop $65,587 off the
total interest, or $131,998 ($197,585 minus $65,587). Knock off 25% of the
interest you pay for the tax-deduction and the interest tab is down to
$98,998. You also shorten you mortgage duration to 21 years and 3 months.
Save or invest the
money. Instead of paying off your mortgage early, maybe it makes sense to
stuff your $200 a month into savings or investments. One key is to invest your
money in relatively low-risk investments.
Whether investing makes sense depends on the return you
earn. Say you start an automatic $200 monthly contribution to low-cost index
funds with a moderately conservative asset allocation that is likely to deliver
annual returns of 5% over the long term.
If you
contribute $200 per month for 30 years (a total contribution of $72,000), the
balance at the end of the 30 years would be $167,426. You would earn $95,426
on your investment (don't forget that the interest compounds).
Suppose
you pay 20% in taxes on your investment returns, so you net $76,340.
That
means that at the end of 30 years, your out-of-pocket mortgage interest is
only $71,808 ($148,149 from the after-tax deduction interest minus the
$76,340 in investment earnings).
In
this example, you have to earn at least 3.75% on your investment to make
investing the $200 per month more attractive than prepaying your mortgage.
Right now, savings accounts and CDs don't deliver that return, so you
would have to invest in some mixture of stocks, bonds, and cash, which
means a slightly elevated level of risk. Make sure you're comfortable with
the risk from the investments you use.
What about other
debt? If you have several sources of debt, the rule of thumb is to pay off
the highest-interest-rate debt first. But that's true only when the loan
durations are similar. The length of mortgage loans sometimes means that prepaying
your principal is the better route. For example, take the same $200,000 5.25%
mortgage we've used so far. Say you also owe $5,000 on a credit card with a 19%
interest rate.Should you pay $200
toward the card or prepay your mortgage?
If you
make the minimum monthly payment of $100 on your credit card (assuming
it's 2% of your balance), you would pay $4,985 in interest by the time you
pay off the original bill.
If you
add the $200 to paying off your credit card, you would pay only $851 in
interest, for a savings of $4,134.
You
already saw that you would save $65,587 in interest plus $16,397 in tax
deductions (a total of $81,984) by prepaying your mortgage principal.
Prepaying your mortgage is the winner by far in this case.